Prediction Markets
- Prediction Markets
An explanation of how Prediction Markets should work, as well as a list of Prediction Markets, so their accuracy can be tracked daily. - Presidential Election Prediction Markets
An aggregate collection of U.S. Presidential Prediction Markets, updated automatically. - Dumb Agent Theory at work
A talk about the Influenza Prediction Market, one of the prime applications of the Dumb Agent Theory.
- Predictify
A short introduction to Predictify and its Freakonomics Prediction Center.
- Prove us Wrong
Show us the Dumb Agent Theory doesn’t work, if you can.
- WSJ: Trading on the Wisdom of Crowds
Prediction Markets vs. Polling, from the Wall Street Journal.
- CFTC to Regulate Prediction Markets
The Commodity Futures Trade Commission plans to start regulating Prediction Markets
- Prediction Markets Resource
A great website dealing solely with Prediction Markets
- WSJ on Prediction Markets
The Wall Street Journal discusses Prediction Markets and their possible fallacies.
- CFTC Jursdiction – Other Point of view
Mercury’s blog has a different point of view regarding the CFTC regulation of Prediction Markets.
-
Original Theory by Dumbagent.com
- A Letter from a Concerned Reader
A discussion on the possible causes of the state of our economy and whether we are experiencing a “Banana”. 
The Wisdom of Crowds
By James Surowiecki
Anchor Books, 2005. 306 pp., $10.17
Read the Review
Buy the Book
Freakonomics
A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything
By Steven Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner
HarperCollins Publishers, 2005. 256 pp., cloth.
Read the Review
Buy the Book
Other Theory
Book Reviews
