We at Dumbagent have always been fans of the Iowa Electronics Market, even using their Influenza Prediction Market as an example of The Dumb Agent Theory at work. We were therefore quite disappointed when we searched this site for information (after a post by Midas Oracle) for information about H1N1 and found no markets after 2008.
Luckily, we then found out that it had merely migrated to a new and (we think) improved site. We were so impressed that we wanted to share it here. The H1N1 (or influenza formerly known as Swine flu) market can be found here. As of the writing of this article, there is a 96% chance that at least half the influenza cases this season will be H1N1.
New Influenza Market site here.
