US Markets

DJIA8952.89chart-81.80
NASDAQ1628.03chart-4.18
S&P 500927.45chart-4.35
2009-01-05 16:02

Intl. Markets

FTSE4579.64chart+17.85
DAX4983.99chart+10.92
Nikkei9049.00chart+5.88
2009-01-05 11:35

Commodity Futures

Oil48.11chart-0.70
Gold854.25chart+0.00
Copper1.50chart+0.05
2009-01-06 23:12

Treasury Yield

13 Weeks0.09chart+0.00
5 Year1.69chart-0.03
10 Year2.49chart+0.07
2009-01-05 14:59

Exchange Rates

JPY93.00chart+0.00
EUR0.74chart+0.00
GBP0.68chart+0.00
2009-01-06 23:42

Prediction Markets

Dumb Agent Theory at Work »

The Dumb Agent Theory, namesake of this website, has been put into practice many times. From such diverse purpose as tracking weather patterns and predicting who will win presidential elections, to determining future market trends by corporations such as Yahoo and Google. One market in particular, however, deserves greater attention: the Influenza Prediction Market by [...]